In the middle of August, a group of Pennsylvania State University faculty members posted the fruits of weeks of statistical modeling -- projecting results of their university's plans to bring undergraduates back to State College for in-person fall classes. They assumed 200 students infected with COVID-19 who were not showing symptoms would arrive on campus, out of a total of 40,000. They assumed the university would receive the results of COVID-19 tests rapidly, within eight hours. They...

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